Thai November headline inflation misses forecast, below central bank target By Reuters


BANGKOK (Reuters) – Thailand’s headline consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.95% in November from a year earlier, driven by higher food and energy prices, after the previous month’s annual increase of 0.83%, the commerce ministry said on Wednesday.

The figure compared with a forecast rise of 1.1% in a Reuters poll, and was below the central bank’s target range of 1% to 3%.

The core CPI was up 0.80% in November from a year earlier, slightly above a forecast increase of 0.77%.

In the January-November period, average annual headline inflation was 0.32%, with core inflation at 0.55%.

Headline inflation could be at 1.2% to 1.3% in December, and coming at 0.4% to 0.5% for the full year, Poonpong Naiyanapakorn, director of the ministry’s trade policy and strategy office, told a press conference.

The ministry projected headline inflation at between 0.3% to 1.3% in 2025, helped by expected stronger economic growth and government stimulus measures.

On Tuesday, Finance Minister Pichai Chunhavajira said he wanted a further rate cut to support the economy as inflation was low.

Bank of Thailand Governor Sethaput Suthiwartnarueput said on Tuesday a mix of policies was needed to manage the economy as interest rates alone cannot address everything, however.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man buys food at a market in Bangkok, Thailand, October 2, 2023. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha/File Photo

In October, the central bank’s monetary policy committee unexpectedly cut the key interest rate by a quarter point to 2.25% but said it was not the start of an easing cycle.

The next policy review is on Dec. 18.




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